Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.214429 0.248524 0.286286 0.331215 0.383228 0.441565 0.511993
2025-07-27 0.163391 0.209699 0.266391 0.340928 0.436428 0.554805 0.712914
2025-08-03 0.133823 0.184282 0.250479 0.343738 0.471908 0.642165 0.886071
2025-08-10 0.111578 0.162724 0.233712 0.339519 0.493502 0.709932 1.038253
2025-08-17 0.093187 0.142817 0.215142 0.328328 0.501419 0.756899 1.164173
2025-08-24 0.083581 0.133918 0.210544 0.335823 0.536113 0.844989 1.359812
2025-08-31 0.074417 0.124167 0.202973 0.337063 0.560311 0.918650 1.540720
2025-09-07 0.067507 0.116943 0.198188 0.341630 0.589589 1.002623 1.747197
2025-09-14 0.059645 0.107002 0.187553 0.334760 0.598311 1.052779 1.901438
2025-09-21 0.053644 0.099466 0.179970 0.331962 0.613233 1.114369 2.081849
2025-09-28 0.049351 0.094419 0.176072 0.335074 0.638720 1.196781 2.308805
2025-10-05 0.047394 0.093433 0.179337 0.351643 0.690748 1.332781 2.651512
2025-10-12 0.044800 0.091006 0.179793 0.363232 0.735283 1.460946 2.997370
2025-10-19 0.042295 0.088463 0.179754 0.373888 0.779356 1.593453 3.368896
2025-10-26 0.039250 0.084425 0.176240 0.376970 0.808192 1.698421 3.695878
2025-11-02 0.035795 0.079095 0.169456 0.372342 0.820169 1.769767 3.959558
2025-11-09 0.032053 0.072688 0.159674 0.360065 0.814095 1.802026 4.141179
2025-11-16 0.030416 0.070743 0.159240 0.368287 0.854164 1.938365 4.572508
2025-11-23 0.028390 0.067669 0.155962 0.369647 0.878718 2.042721 4.942264
2025-11-30 0.026815 0.065454 0.154359 0.374658 0.912233 2.170909 5.383370
2025-12-07 0.024541 0.061297 0.147806 0.367122 0.914885 2.227225 5.656457
2025-12-14 0.022765 0.058155 0.143306 0.364051 0.928052 2.309969 6.005081
2025-12-21 0.021525 0.056213 0.141495 0.367465 0.957802 2.436397 6.480178